This is a bit late of me, but this seems short sided. The protest can’t be lumped into one thing, much like how the Syrian conflict the Egyption strife or any of the others are. Also, had Crimea and Russia not gone with a brute force method and had attempted to protest themselves, I might be able to agree with you. On top of it, Yanukovich skipped town instead of following on with elections as made a deal of. Agree on Clinton and Mccain tho.
Yanukovich, although elected, was corrupt and not a very good leader. So yeah, the protesters definitely have some valid reason to protest. However, as always, emotions run high and compromises are made. One of the compromises the protesters are making is to embrace the Neo-Nazis. Most because they’re the most organized and armed. Now does that mean the protesters are anti-semetic? No, but it does mean they’re lending tacit approval of these thugs to get what they want. That’s eventually going to blow up in their faces. So, as always, why should the United States put it’s grubby mitts all over that? Let the Ukrainians sort out their country. Why lend support and credibility to the new government just to stick a finger into Putin’s eye? Putin’s no choir boy, but he’s reasonable, someone you can work with. What is the U.S. going to do after giving up a billion dollars in guaranteed loans (money we need here) and then the new government starts turning on its own people? The answer is nothing, because the U.S. government doesn’t care how you run things as long as you play ball. It’s another policy that blows up in your face down the line.
While I agree the money is blown(something which should of been in the EU’s court or for Ukraine to figure on their own), I in not way can see Putin being “reasonable”. If he was really reasonable he wouldn’t of walked in and controlled Crimea(and possibly strongarmed the vote), and be sticking to his guns on it while dragging his own countries economy along the ground in the process. Not to mention all the stupid veiled threats, tho hopefully for everyones sake, thats hopefully all they are.
Again, I’m no Putin supporter, but compared to the nutso Neo-Nazis in the new Ukrainian government, he’s quite reasonable. And keep in mind, no one “strongarmed” the vote when Yanukovich was elected. Ukrainians speak Russian first, English second and Ukrainian third. The fact that the new government tried to impose a Ukrainian-only language rule, gives you an indication of what portion of the Ukrainian population is in control now.
Western governments and their media sock puppets have portrayed Putin as the next Hitler, but he hasn’t fired a shot. And considering that the Crimeans have wanted to split from the Ukraine for years and identify as Russian, it’s hardly surprising the vote came out the way it did. Is Putin making threats? Or is he being portrayed that way in the Western media because that’s the way the NATO allies want it to appear? And the only people “dragging down” economies are the U.S. and its allies. Sanctions are an act of war. The new government of the Ukraine is not worth risking a second Cold War or World War 3. Let the Ukrainians and Russians handle it. By backing the new government, you could end up creating a situation like the Kurds had in Iraq during the first Gulf War. The end result was the U.S. pulled back and the Kurds got massacred. If the old Ukrainian government was bad, fine, how about using the political process to throw them out instead of violence? I think Putin would be amendable to a diplomatic solution. It’s in his best interests. But with the West mucking about and trying to control the new Ukrainian government, how can he trust it? That means the people that control the Ukraine may make policy to help the U.S. and not the Ukraine or their neighbors.
Soo much to read through.
1. I in no way was suggestion Yanukovich’s election was strong armed. I spoke more of Crimea and the russian occupation of before the referendum…and that it led to that after the government was taken over.
2.Russia’s economy is definitly getting hit by it. EU and the Neighboring nations are a chunk of their exports, especially gas, and the actions are making thoes of the EU look at it and prepare to snub them(at least I feel somewhat, not so much because of unneeded US support(which probably won’t happen), but cause nations like Germany aren’t as trapped to it due to renewalble practicies). Russia is eating it on the bond front, and unless something changes Crimea also is a money pit for them, as the economy partially runs on tourism. Tourism they are loosing in all of this.
3. It may be in his “best interests” to be diplomatic but so would of been staying out of Crimea in the first place. He wants control and he wants his “Eurasian Union” to look better than the west, and thus he pushes the limit as far as he can. This may be the limit tho. Dolstok and the East is not Crimea, and most of the rest of Russia’s neighbors do not see the “great nation” in anyway of a good eye.
4.I agree on the last point, we are giving too strong a hand, much like certain other conflicts that occured before this year. This needs to be one that Ukraine and Russia figures out…tho I belive part of the reason the US feels they must step in(possibly short sided even in that) is in the belive that due to oil trade(which restrictions were partially behind why Yanukovich dropped the EU deal) and army size, that leaving them would only lead to Russia having their way. Poorly thought and really more something that should be in the hands of the EU if any, but it is probably the feelings why.
2. Sure, but I don’t think German’s renewable energy sources will be able to pick up the slack. http://www.thelocal.de/20140324/punishing-putin-could-hurt-germany Russian can’t lose Crimea, mainly because of that port. I think the Russians will be happy to prop them up to keep them.
3. I think if he stayed out, the Ukrainians, flush with Western loans and a sense that the U.S. had their backs, would breeze right in and take it. Why not? Then Russian would have to fight because the story in the media could play even worse for Russia. As for the rest of the Ukraine, it’s got natural resources but it’s full of debt and has suffered from several corrupt governments. I have no doubt that the current government will be even more corrupt and unstable, especially as it takes bribes on the sly from the U.S.
4. I think the EU has reason to stay clear too. Whoever comes out on top will want to sell their resources somewhere. By throwing support to one faction or another, you create another potential Iran: a country that is going to be slow to trust the West with good reason. Getting involved in manipulating governments is just plain stupid.
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